Last Update: 09/25/2026 at 4:33 PM EST
Super El Niño Could Cause 451,000 Heat…Super El Niño Could Cause 451,000 Heat Deaths
Coverage from Al Jazeera, Inside Climate News, and others

The University of Chicago Climate Impact Lab projects roughly 450,000 excess heat-related deaths worldwide associated with the current El Niño, with estimates extending into early 2027. The projections combine temperature forecasts with historical relationships between heat and mortality; Africa and parts of Asia are identified as particularly exposed. Researchers and experts stress that the figures are uncertain and point to heat warnings, health outreach, cooling facilities and worker protections as ways to reduce harm.
First Article: 09/24/26
Latest Article: 09/24/26
Articles3 articles
09-23-2026
Al Jazeera / Mariamne Everett
Climate Impact Lab projected that the current super El Nino could cause nearly 451,000 excess heat-related deaths worldwide by early 2027.
09-23-2026
Inside Climate News / Arcelia Martin
University of Chicago Climate Impact Lab scientists projected that a super El Niño could contribute to more than 451,000 additional heat deaths worldwide over six months.
09-23-2026
New Scientist / Michael Le Page
The University of Chicago's Climate Impact Lab projected that El Niño-driven heat could cause 240,000 additional deaths worldwide from September through February.
