Last Update: 09/29/2026 at 3:33 PM EST
Super El Niño Could Cause 451,000 Heat…Super El Niño Could Cause 451,000 Heat Deaths
Coverage from Mother Jones, Al Jazeera, and others

Climate Impact Lab researchers project about 451,000 excess heat deaths worldwide from June 2026 through February 2027, as a powerful El Niño raises temperatures. The estimate is intended to help governments target measures such as heat warnings, cooling centers, medical staffing and outdoor-worker protections. Regional estimates and the event’s eventual severity remain uncertain, while human-driven warming raises the baseline on which El Niño’s effects occur.
First Article: 09/23/26
Latest Article: 09/27/26
Articles3 articles
09-25-2026
Mother Jones / Damian Carrington
Climate researchers project 451,000 additional heat deaths from the current super El Niño worldwide between June 2026 and February 2027, with tropical countries among the hardest hit.
09-23-2026
Al Jazeera / Mariamne Everett
Climate Impact Lab projected that the current super El Nino could cause nearly 451,000 excess heat-related deaths worldwide by early 2027.
09-23-2026
Inside Climate News / Arcelia Martin
University of Chicago Climate Impact Lab scientists projected that a super El Niño could contribute to more than 451,000 additional heat deaths worldwide over six months.
