Last Update: 10/26/2026 at 11:33 PM EST

El Niño and ENSO

Coverage from The Climate Brink, The Conversation, and others

El Niño and ENSO topic image

El Niño is the warm phase of the El Niño–Southern Oscillation, a recurring interaction between tropical Pacific Ocean temperatures and the atmosphere.

Changes in trade winds, ocean heat, jet streams, rainfall, and monsoon circulation can produce contrasting risks—drought in some places and flooding or heavier rain in others—across the Americas, Australia, Asia, Africa, and Pacific islands. Forecast agencies such as NOAA and Copernicus track the pattern using observations, models, and temperature-anomaly datasets. Its consequences extend beyond weather to crop yields, food security, fisheries, hydropower, energy demand, and global temperature records, while researchers assess how long-term warming may influence its effects.

Key Articles4 of 239 articles

If you read one thing

It clearly distinguishes El Niño’s short-term warming effects from human-caused warming and explains what remains uncertain about climate change altering El Niño itself.

The Guardian / Jonathan Watts

The evidence

Its validated measurements and forecasts show why claims that this is an unprecedented El Niño depend on the index and measurement method.

Carbon Brief / Zeke Hausfather

The local angle

It makes uneven regional impacts concrete with quantified forecasts of heavy California winter rainfall and coastal-flood risk.

Mercury News / Paul Rogers

The evidence

It documents a distinct cyclone pattern, contrasting suppressed Atlantic hurricane formation with unusually active eastern Pacific storms.

National Geographic
Key Issues

El Niño is exceptionally strong, with rankings depending on the index

Pacific temperatures have reached or approached records, and forecasts point to a very strong event that may persist into 2027. Its historical ranking differs by measurement and baseline, with warming-adjusted measures distinguishing event strength from broader ocean warming.

Drawn from 4 articles

El Niño adds heat to an already warm baseline

El Niño transfers ocean heat into the atmosphere while human-caused warming keeps global temperatures elevated, raising the prospect of exceptional warmth into 2027. Evidence that climate change is itself increasing El Niño frequency or intensity remains inconclusive.

Drawn from 5 articles

Rainfall risks are pronounced but uneven

El Niño shifts rainfall patterns rather than producing uniform effects: California faces forecasts of unusually wet winter conditions, while drought-related water and energy pressures are concerns elsewhere. Local outcomes and impact severity remain uncertain.

Drawn from 3 articles

Cyclone activity contrasts between the Atlantic and Pacific

El Niño-related wind shear and other atmospheric conditions have sharply suppressed Atlantic hurricane activity, while Pacific cyclone activity is elevated. This is a current seasonal contrast, not evidence of a lasting shift.

Drawn from 3 articles

Key Numbers

7% of normal

Atlantic hurricane activity

for that point in the season · Sept. 12

“Overall Atlantic activity, measured by the number, strength and duration of storms, was also at a post-1950 record low, according to Colorado State University hurricane expert Phil Klotzbach. Activity was only 7% of normal for that point in the season.”

KCCI and 1 other article

nearly double normal

eastern Pacific tropical-cyclone activity

“Eastern Pacific activity was nearly double normal, with storms lasting much longer than usual, while central Pacific activity was about 40% above normal.”

KCCI and 1 other article

10°C

localized subsurface temperature anomaly

localized

“The event has been fueled by strong oceanic Kelvin waves, which transported subsurface heat eastward along the equatorial Pacific thermocline. These waves deepened the thermocline and weakened the upwelling of cold water. NOAA reported subsurface temperatures more than 8°C above climatological values at depths of roughly 50–150 meters, with localized anomalies reaching 10°C.”

Tech Times

roughly 1,000 years

length of the reconstructed El Niño record

Galápagos coral records compared with modern observations

“Cole and colleagues reconstructed past El Niño events using coral skeletons from the Galápagos, whose annual growth records past environmental conditions. Comparing roughly 1,000 years of records with modern observations, they found that modern El Niños are significantly stronger than those of the preindustrial era.”

WWNO

10 a year requests per year

Annual fishery disaster assistance requests since 2015

since 2015

“Disaster assistance requests have risen from an average of two a year between 1985 and 2015 to 10 a year since 2015.”

Civil Eats

Looking Back
526 Day Timeline
Jan 24Mar 7May 9Jun 20Aug 22Oct 3
The Story So Far
No material change

The new article argues that predictable El Niño hazards can become disasters when preparedness is inadequate, but it adds no specific development that materially changes the Topic’s state.

Previously

El Niño formed in the tropical Pacific in 2026 and strengthened to unusually high sea-surface temperatures. Forecasts generally point to a very strong event peaking in late 2026 and potentially continuing into 2027, but its ranking varies by measurement method. Expected effects differ by region: drought and heat risks rise in some areas while heavy rain and flooding become more likely in others. The event adds natural ocean heat to a climate already warmed by human emissions; the extent to which climate change alters El Niño itself remains uncertain.

History
10/15/2026

The main clarification is that claims of record or near-record Pacific warmth depend on the measurement used, so the event’s historical ranking is not uniform.

10/03/2026

The forecast is now backed by observations of exceptionally warm Pacific conditions, with September readings near or matching reported 2015 daily levels. New estimates quantify potential health impacts, while the link between human-caused warming and El Niño behavior is described as inconclusive.

All Articles239 articles
Important186 articles · CI Score 60 and above
The Climate Brink / Andrew Dessler
Climate forecasts indicate that a developing El Nino in the tropical Pacific could raise global average temperatures sharply in 2027, while producing regional patterns unlike persistent greenhouse warming.
8/17/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
The Climate Brink / Zeke Hausfather
Zeke Hausfather forecasts in June 2026 that global temperatures will likely rank second that year, as a strong El Nino boosts record odds worldwide.
7/30/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
The Conversation / Kevin Trenberth
Forecasts in 2026 indicate a potentially super El Nino developing across the tropical Pacific, threatening higher global temperatures and drier conditions in northeastern New Zealand.
8/24/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
National Geographic
A strong El Nino is suppressing Atlantic hurricane formation and fueling eastern Pacific storms this season, with no Atlantic hurricane recorded through early October.
9/25/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
Tech Times
NOAA reported in August 2026 that a very strong El Niño had developed across the equatorial Pacific, with peak conditions forecast for November 2026 through January 2027.
9/7/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
Jimehansen / James Hansen
Researchers reported on 21 August 2026 that the strongest modern El Nino is developing in the equatorial Pacific amid accelerating human-caused global warming.
8/21/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
Boulder Daily Camera
Scientists reported that human-caused warming is driving widespread 2026 heat and ocean records worldwide, while a strengthening El Nino could elevate global temperatures further.
8/4/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
Heatmap News / Robinson Meyer
Extensive wildfires in France and Spain during an El Nino-influenced heat period have driven large evacuations and firestorm cloud formation.
7/28/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
Davidson College
Forecasters predicted an 81 percent chance of a very strong El Niño in October to December 2026, driven by ENSO ocean-atmosphere shifts that affect rainfall and drought risk.
7/27/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
Nature
Berkeley Earth researchers reported a strengthening El Nino event in the tropical Pacific that NOAA forecasts will persist into April 2027 and increase extreme-weather and temperature risks.
7/23/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
The Washington Post / Ben Noll and John Muyskens
Copernicus Climate Change Service and ECMWF forecasts in 2026 indicate a record-strong El Niño peaking in December 2026 and affecting global weather through 2027.
7/10/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
Weather.com / Jonathan Belles
NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center forecasts El Niño persistence into early spring 2027 and an 81% chance of a very strong event during October to December, with regional impacts and model spread on peak intensity.
7/9/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
Earth.Org / Martina Igini
NOAA forecasts stronger El Nino this fall and estimates elevated odds of very strong warming in the equatorial Pacific, with increased risks of droughts, floods, and cyclone activity changes across multiple regions.
6/15/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
Euronews / Liam Gilliver
WMO projections forecast 2026 to 2030 temperatures likely exceeding the Paris 1.5C limit, with faster Arctic warming and increased Amazon drought and wildfire risk through 2030.
5/28/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
The Times of India
Copernicus Climate Change Service, via ECMWF, said April sea-surface temperatures nearly matched 2024 records as developing El Niño raises risk of extreme weather and a possible hottest year in 2027.
5/8/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
POLITICO
WMO and EU Copernicus scientists report record 2025 warmth and hazards across Europe while forecasting a strong El Niño that may elevate temperatures through 2027.
4/29/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
Carbon Brief / Zeke Hausfather
Scientists monitoring the tropical Pacific reported on 19 September 2026 that an intensifying El Niño matched the daily sea-surface temperature record and could surpass it this winter.
9/21/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
Carbon Brief / Zeke Hausfather
Carbon Brief updates El Niño-driven temperature forecasts for 2026-2027, increasing record-warmth odds and projecting the largest effects in 2027.
7/24/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
Yale Climate Connections / Bob Henson
Fourteen seasonal forecast models project a potentially record-strength 2026-27 El Niño, with NOAA indices suggesting a 77% chance of surpassing past records.
7/14/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
Yale Climate Connections / Bob Henson
A 2026-27 El Niño forecast using 14 models projects record-strength warming in the Niño3.4 region, with major rainfall and wildfire risk implications.
7/14/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
The Guardian / Jonathan Watts
During the current El Niño in the Pacific, climate scientist Mat Collins says natural ocean variability and human-caused warming together increase the likelihood of extremes across affected regions.
9/26/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
Fortune
NOAA forecasts an 81% chance that El Nino will become very strong by fall, with likely fall-winter drought, rainfall, and temperature impacts worldwide.
7/9/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
New Scientist
Axel Timmermann and researchers report an 80 percent El Nino development chance by September, with climate change expected to amplify impacts across the Pacific and beyond.
6/3/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
Green Central Banking / Gabrielle See
A stronger El Nino could reduce hydropower output and increase fossil fuel use across Southeast Asia during the 2027 dry season.
9/8/2026 • Clean Energy & Emissions • General
The Climate Brink / Zeke Hausfather
Researchers forecast a strong El Nino by late 2026 globally, with temperatures elevated in 2027.
3/12/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
Gizmodo / Ellyn Lapointe
A study using 13 climate models reports that super El Nino-related North American weather impacts weaken and shift eastward once warming exceeds about 2C.
6/17/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
CityNews Halifax / Seth Borenstein
Japanese researchers and U.S. meteorologists say a 2020-2023 triple-dip La Nina and revised NOAA indexing contributed to a global temperature jump beginning in 2023.
2/20/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
The Conversation / Amy Bennett
In a 2023 study, researchers found extreme El Nino heat and drought increased South American tropical forest mortality and reduced carbon sink behavior across six countries.
7/10/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
AOL / Simon King
Australian and US forecasters report record Pacific warmth during the 2026 El Niño, which is expected to peak in December across the tropical Pacific.
10/13/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
Vital Signs
NOAA declared a strong El Nino in the tropical Pacific on June 11, 2026, as forecasts pointed to global weather shifts and heightened U.S. regional risks.
9/21/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
WJCL / Seth Borenstein
By September 12, 2026, Atlantic hurricane activity remained near a post-1950 low because strong El Nino conditions suppressed storm formation across the basin.
9/12/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
KCCI / Seth Borenstein
A strong El Nino suppressed Atlantic hurricane formation by Sept. 12 while increasing tropical cyclone activity in the eastern and central Pacific.
9/12/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
Al Jazeera
The World Meteorological Organization forecast in Geneva that an exceptionally strong El Nino will persist into early 2027, increasing heat, drought, flood, and rainfall risks worldwide.
9/3/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
PR Newswire
Planet Classroom Network and VoiceAmerica released a Jong-Seong Kug episode on August 17, 2026, explaining how Pacific warming intensifies ENSO hazards worldwide.
8/17/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
Heatmap / Robinson Meyer
NOAA identified an exceptionally strong El Nino in the Pacific in spring, with August temperatures exceeding 2.6 degrees Celsius above average and potentially affecting global weather and economic losses.
8/12/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
Heatmap News / Robinson Meyer
The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration reported an exceptionally strong El Nino in the Pacific Ocean this spring, with effects likely to include global heat and regional weather disruption.
8/12/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
The Washington Post / Ben Noll and John Muyskens
Climate forecasters expect the developing El Nino to peak late this year over the central equatorial Pacific, potentially setting an intensity record and shifting weather risks worldwide.
8/10/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
VTDigger / Grace Bertrand
NOAA expects a very strong El Nino and Vermont officials plan around probabilistic seasonal temperature and precipitation forecasts influenced more by North Atlantic and Arctic weather.
7/12/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
The Times of India
NOAA confirmed El Nino development and forecasts a 63% chance of an ultra-strong event impacting global weather and regional disaster risk late fall and early winter.
6/11/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
Scripps News
NOAA forecasts strengthening El Niño to reach historic intensity probabilities in fall and early winter, increasing global drought, flood, heat-wave, and wildfire risks.
6/11/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
Earth.org
WMO forecasts an 80% chance of El Niño developing by August and a 90% chance persisting through November, driven by warm tropical Pacific waters.
6/2/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
Nature / K.Y. Lai, C.Y. Tam, M. Collins
Under SSP585, CMIP6 models project ENSO-linked surface temperature anomaly signals to emerge over tropical rainforests and the Sahel transition zone as early as the 2040s.
6/2/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
Earth.Org / Martina Igini
NOAA released Atlantic and eastern and central Pacific hurricane outlooks, forecasting below-average Atlantic activity and above-average eastern Pacific activity based on developing El Niño conditions.
5/26/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
Nature
Nature reports NOAA forecasts a likely El Nino between May and July, with higher chances by December, as tropical Pacific wind dynamics remain the main uncertainty.
5/14/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
Futura-Sciences
NOAA forecasters expect El Nino to emerge by mid 2026, affecting global weather patterns.
3/15/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
Futura-Sciences / Molongui Authorship Pro
NOAA forecasts El Nino onset by mid 2026 with 62 percent probability, signaling potential global weather shifts.
3/15/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
York's Max Country 104.9 / Sybre Waaijer
NOAA warns of an El Nino watch, raising the likelihood of warmer global temperatures and altered Atlantic and Pacific hurricane seasons, starting in the second half of the year.
3/14/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
Abcaudio / Al Seib
NOAA issues El Nino Watch with six month outlook predicting El Nino formation between June and August across the Pacific and Americas.
3/14/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
KUOW Public Radio / Lauren Sommer
NOAA forecasts a likely strong El Niño this summer that could raise global temperatures and alter regional weather through 2027.
3/12/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
Azpm / AZPM Staff
NOAA forecasts El Nino forming between June and August 2026, globally increasing temperatures and shifting regional weather.
3/12/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
WUFT
NOAA forecasters project El Niño to develop between June and August 2026, influencing global temperatures and regional rainfall through 2027.
3/12/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
Azpm / AZPM Staff
NOAA forecasts El Nino to emerge this summer globally with regional weather changes through 2027.
3/12/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
Japan Today / Laurent THOMET
NOAA forecasts El Nino now
3/3/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
Phys.org / Laurent Thomet
NOAA projects El Nino development between July and September; global temperatures could rise temporarily worldwide.
3/2/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
El Nino could return this year and make Earth even hotter. What you ... if valid
NOAA projects El Nino development with 50-60 percent likelihood in July through September, with global temperature and rainfall implications.
3/2/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
KOMO
Scientists attribute higher global temperatures from 2023 to 2025 to extended La Nina and shifting El Nino cycles amid ongoing warming.
2/23/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
Euronews.com / global warming
NOAA updates El Nino labeling this year in the United States to reflect tropical warming and influence global temperature records.
2/23/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
1News
University of Tokyo researchers and NOAA link a prolonged La Nina and an updated El Nino index to a 2022 energy imbalance increase, raising global temperatures worldwide in 2022-2025.
2/21/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
WTOP News / Sybre Waaijer
Japanese researchers and NOAA scientists report that a prolonged La Nina, followed by an El Nino transition and greenhouse gas forcing, increased Earth's energy imbalance and global temperatures in 2022-2025.
2/20/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
The Weather Network / Dennis Mersereau
Scientists will switch to a global tropical average for ENSO measurement in February to improve El Nino and La Nina classification.
2/6/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
Phys.org
In 2026, researchers led by Xin Wang in China identify two life cycles for Central Pacific El Nino and a two-factor model that predicts persistence months in advance.
1/24/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
AP News
NOAA forecasts a very strong El Nino by fall, raising fall and winter odds of drought, heavy rain, and heat waves across the United States and beyond.
7/9/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
The Climate Brink / Zeke Hausfather
NOAA-related seasonal forecast assessments in July 2026 project record-strength 2026-27 El Niño using Niño 3.4 and NOAA relative ONI, with strongest global temperature impacts expected in 2027.
7/13/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
Yale Climate Connections / Irene Sans
Colorado State University forecast a 2026 Atlantic hurricane season with reduced activity driven by El Nino, while major hurricane landfall probabilities remain elevated for the U.S. and Caribbean.
6/11/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
Yale Climate Connections / Bob Henson
Yale Climate Connections details in February 2026 how NOAA and climate scientists are using the Relative Oceanic Nino Index to refine El Nino-La Nina monitoring, without addressing heat pump systems.
2/5/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
New Scientist / Alec Luhn
El Niño periodically shifts warm water east across the tropical Pacific, altering global temperatures and rainfall patterns every two to seven years.
9/30/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
The New York Times / Chico Harlan
Scientists reported that a potentially record-strength El Nino is driving heat, drought, crop losses, and water risks across regions including Panama, Ethiopia, Kenya, and India.
8/17/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
Mother Jones / Molly Taft
Katherine Ricke and coauthors reported modeled marine cloud brightening effects on El Nino using Australian bushfire aerosol analogues, while warning about scientific and political risks.
7/12/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
New Scientist
A modelling study proposes marine cloud brightening over the eastern Pacific to dampen El Niño warming, but results suggest possible earlier and stronger La Niña impacts.
7/8/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
CNN / Laura Paddison
Scripps climate modelers in Science Advances (date unspecified) assessed marine cloud brightening over the Pacific to estimate impacts on super El Nino events.
7/8/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
Los Angeles Times
Scientists project additional global temperature records this year as El Nino strengthens and warm oceans drive higher heat and extreme precipitation risks.
7/6/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
ScienceDaily
NASA and ESA use Sentinel-6 Michael Freilich sea level data to track Kelvin waves across the Pacific signaling potential El Niño development later in the year.
6/15/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
The Guardian
World Meteorological Organization forecasts high-likelihood El Niño formation before November, with UN officials warning of heat and extreme rain and drought risk.
6/2/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
Live Science / Patrick Pester
Copernicus and NOAA forecast El Niño development after near-record April sea-surface temperatures, raising the probability of very strong warming during the Northern Hemisphere winter.
5/12/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
New Scientist
James Hansen and colleagues forecast 2026 as the warmest year on record as El Nino likely replaces La Nina, with uncertainty from the UK Met Office.
5/1/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
Time / Simmone Shah
NOAA assessed a 61% chance of El Nino development on April 9, with potential for strong event impacts on monsoons, hurricanes, drought risk, and temperature records.
4/10/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
Reuters / Sharon Kits Kimathi
Researchers attribute recent floods in southern Africa to climate change and La Nina, triggering monitoring and preparedness efforts.
1/31/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
Climate Uncensored / James Hansen
Hansen, Kharecha, Morgan, and Vest argue that 2026 global heat trends and energy-balance changes reflect human-caused forcing, not El Nino alone, with aerosols a key contributor.
7/23/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
The Equation / Marc Alessi
Forecast models in early 2027 predict a potentially record super El Niño alongside record ocean heat and higher risk of heat extremes across the United States.
7/15/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
Climate Uncensored / James Hansen
Hansen, Kharecha, Morgan, and Vest project 2026 as potentially the warmest instrumental year based on higher climate sensitivity, larger aerosol cooling, and a developing strong El Nino.
6/12/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
Jimehansen / James Hansen
James Hansen and colleagues forecast 2026 as likely the warmest year on record, based on energy imbalance, forcings, and GISS-based temperature estimates.
4/30/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
WWNO / Lauren Sommer
Federal forecasters are monitoring a potentially record-strength El Nino in the tropical Pacific that could raise global temperatures and increase flooding and drought risks across the United States.
8/30/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
AOL.com / Rebecca Speare-Cole
NOAA announced in June that a potentially record-strength El Nino had developed in the tropical Pacific and could raise global temperatures through 2027.
8/21/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
The Guardian
Scientists report that a record-strength El Nino in the Pacific Ocean is intensifying global heat, rainfall, drought, wildfire, and food-security risks.
9/21/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
The Guardian
Australia's Bureau of Meteorology reported that a strengthening El Nino could reach record intensity in the equatorial Pacific during late spring or summer, increasing drought, heatwave, and wildfire risks across Australia and neighboring regions.
9/3/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
The Climate Brink / Zeke Hausfather
In September 2026, seasonal forecast models projected a record-strength 2026-27 El Niño, with potential rainfall and temperature impacts across regions worldwide.
9/28/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
The Conversation / Dillon Amaya
Late fall 2026 forecast models project a 2-in-3 chance of strong El Nino, with marine heat-wave risks highlighted across major ocean regions.
6/12/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
E&E News by POLITICO / Chelsea Harvey
Super El Nino impacts renewable generation in California, southeastern China, the Pacific Northwest, South America, and southern Africa, risking temporary emissions increases.
6/25/2026 • Clean Energy & Emissions • General
Mercury News / Paul Rogers
NOAA scientists said Thursday that a potentially record-strong El Niño could bring unusually heavy winter rain and coastal flooding to California.
10/8/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
Mercury News / EDNA TARIGAN
The World Food Program warns that a potentially record-strength El Niño could worsen food insecurity across vulnerable regions as the event approaches its forecast December peak.
9/22/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
Mercury News / Paul Rogers
California Gov. Gavin Newsom declared a statewide emergency Monday to accelerate storm preparations across California as NOAA forecast a high probability of a very strong El Niño.
9/21/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
Mercury News / Paul Rogers
NOAA scientists and California emergency agencies are preparing for potentially wetter storms, coastal flooding and infrastructure disruption across California during the coming winter.
9/10/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
Mongabay / Sean Mowbray
The WHO, WMO and WFP are urging governments worldwide to prepare for a potentially record-strength El Nino expected to peak between November 2026 and January 2027.
8/23/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
Mercury News / Seth Borenstein
United Nations officials warned Friday that a strengthening El Nino in the equatorial Pacific could produce record intensity and more extreme weather worldwide through 2027.
7/31/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
Climate Change Dispatch / Roger Pielke Jr.
NOAA CPC ONI v5 and IBTrACS analysis links La Niña to more Atlantic hurricane landfalls and higher U.S. hurricane damages through 2025.
7/27/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
Weather
WMO and NOAA forecast a strengthening El Niño during 2026, with elevated drought, heavy rainfall, and heat-wave risks that require early government and humanitarian preparation.
6/3/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
Carbon Brief / Cecilia Keating
Indonesia's 2026 fires had emitted 76 million tonnes of carbon by 7 September and could match the 2015 season as El Nino intensifies drought conditions.
9/11/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
The Guardian / Gloria Dickie
Wildfires intensified by strong El Niño conditions threatened Bornean orangutans and long-term research stations in Indonesia’s Gunung Palung national park during the dry season.
9/15/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
ScienceDaily / Adam Voiland
Indonesia's peat fires intensified across Kalimantan, Sumatra, and Papua in early September 2026 as El Nino-driven drought dried wetlands and increased pollution, emissions, and smoke exposure.
9/6/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
Inside Climate News / Kiley Price
The Panama Canal Authority will restrict vessel passages beginning September 3 in Panama because El Nino-related drought has reduced reservoir water available for locks, drinking water, and hydropower.
8/25/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
The Guardian
NOAA expects a potentially century-strong El Nino to intensify through winter 2027, increasing precipitation and coastal flooding risks across California, Florida, and other US regions.
8/8/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
Inside Climate News / Johnny Sturgeon
NOAA forecasts an 81% chance of very strong El Niño, and ocean advocates and fisheries economists warn that warmer waters could cause major U.S. losses and urge emergency congressional funding.
7/28/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
The Guardian
Australia's Bureau of Meteorology projects a developing El Niño may peak near record-strength Niño 3.4 sea surface temperature anomalies, increasing odds of top-20% warm temperatures and low rainfall during August to October.
7/16/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
The Guardian
Economists forecast a very strong 2026-27 El Nino could raise global food prices through 2028, compounding Iran-war inflation impacts.
7/12/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
New Scientist
NOAA and the Japan Meteorological Agency declared El Nino onset as models project a likely transition to strong warming in the central-eastern Pacific for at least six months.
6/12/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
Inside Climate News / Bob Berwyn
WMO reported hydrological whiplash and record heat in Latin America and the Caribbean, citing drought and extreme rainfall impacts across Mexico, Peru, Ecuador, and Jamaica in 2025.
5/18/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
Civil Eats / Meg Wilcox
Federal officials and fishery groups are exploring a subsidized commercial fisheries insurance pilot as a powerful El Niño threatens fisheries along the U.S. Pacific coast, with a $500,000 development appropriation proposed for fiscal 2027.
9/24/2026 • Adaptation & Resilience • General
Gizmodo / Ellyn Lapointe
Forecast centers warn that a developing El Nino this year could raise global temperatures and intensify extreme weather across the United States and adjacent regions.
3/12/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
The Conversation / Jim Salinger
World Meteorological Organisation reporting says a potential El Nino developing over New Zealand winter could raise global temperatures and reshape regional extremes.
3/24/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
Global Landscapes Forum / Ming Chun Tang
ThinkLandscape's September digest surveyed worldwide climate developments, including intensifying El Nino risks, record ocean heat, disasters, economic disruptions, and uneven policy responses.
9/2/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
Climate Change Dispatch / Anthony Watts
Anthony Watts challenged Deutsche Welle's framing of a developing 2026 Super El Nino, arguing that natural variability and regional conditions complicate global climate attribution worldwide.
8/26/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
Climate Change Dispatch / Pierre Gosselin
Climate experts report that Atlantic hurricane activity remains unusually weak in 2026 because El Nino, dry Saharan air, weak African waves, and limited deep-ocean heat suppress storm formation across the Atlantic Basin.
8/26/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
Katie Couric Media / Cristina Mittermeier
Climate change is intensifying ocean heat and reducing snowpack, while a developing Super El Nino could worsen wildfire conditions across the Pacific Northwest and western North America.
8/24/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
E&E News / Zack Colman
António Guterres urged nations globally to reduce fossil fuel use as the World Meteorological Organization forecast intensifying El Niño conditions through October.
7/31/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
Heatmap / Robinson Meyer
French and Spanish authorities reported large wildfires during El Nino conditions, including mass evacuations in Gironde and fatalities and displacement near Madrid.
7/28/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
LiCAS.news Philippines
During a 350.org briefing, CNRS and Climate Central scientists said attribution of severe heatwaves and droughts should prioritize greenhouse-gas warming over El Nino.
7/10/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
Phys / Charlotte Causit, Maggy Donaldson
NOAA said El Niño is arriving and may become very strong by November-January, increasing global heat and regional drought and food security risks.
6/13/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
Mercury News / Jennifer McDermott
World Meteorological Organization forecasts mid-year El Nino development, warning of higher global temperature and rainfall extremes as Pacific subsurface heat intensifies.
5/8/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
Weather / Jonathan Erdman
NOAA and forecast models project higher odds of a super El Niño forming later in 2025, with global temperature spikes and regional rainfall shifts expected through winter.
5/7/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
The Washington Post
ECMWF forecast data project central equatorial Pacific sea-surface temperatures could reach around 3 C above average late in the year, raising risk of a super El Nino with broad climate impacts.
5/6/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
AOL
NOAA reported La Niña ended in 2024-2025 and said El Niño is likely to develop later in 2026, affecting hurricane seasons and winter precipitation planning.
4/9/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
USA TODAY
On March 23, the World Meteorological Organization warned that greenhouse-gas forcing plus a likely El Niño could drive record heat into 2027.
3/28/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
IndiaNewsNetwork
WMO warned in 2025 that record excess heat driven by greenhouse gases is rapidly warming oceans and intensifying extreme events, with El Niño expected to increase temperatures into 2026 and 2027.
3/23/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
Rural Radio Network / Sybre Waaijer
NOAA reports El Nino development with 62 percent odds for June to August.
3/14/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
KMOR / Sybre Waaijer
NOAA issues El Nino Watch with 62 percent odds of formation June through August, signaling potential global temperature rise and shifts in hurricane season.
3/14/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
JAM Broadcasting
NOAA forecasts El Nino development between June and August in the Pacific basin, with global temperature and weather pattern implications.
3/14/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
Euronews.com / Liam Gilliver
NOAA says El Nino may form between July and September, with forecast uncertainty and potential for higher global temperatures.
3/3/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
Euronews.com / Liam Gilliver
NOAA forecasts El Nino formation between July and September worldwide, increasing temperatures and shifting rainfall patterns.
3/3/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
INQUIRER.net / Agence France-Presse
NOAA forecasts El Nino development in July-September with 50-60 percent probability worldwide, potentially raising global temperatures.
3/2/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
World Meteorological Organization
World Meteorological Organization provides ENSO outlook for March-May 2026 with rising El Nino risk worldwide.
3/2/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
الشرق الأوسط
NOAA reports a 50-60 percent chance of El Nino developing from July to September, potentially lifting global temperatures toward record highs.
3/2/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
Climate Home News / Megan Rowling
The World Meteorological Organization says an exceptionally strong El Niño may continue through February 2027, threatening agriculture with drought and floods in Sri Lanka, Indonesia, Peru and Central America.
9/28/2026 • Adaptation & Resilience • General
Los Angeles Times / Ian James
Los Angeles County crews are removing sediment from reservoirs and debris basins during the dry season to prepare Southern California for possible El Nino storms and debris flows.
9/17/2026 • Adaptation & Resilience • General
Jimehansen / James Hansen
James Hansen and coauthors say El Nino forecasts for 2026-27 can improve climate dynamics understanding using upper-300-meter ocean heat content metrics.
4/15/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
Jimehansen / James Hansen
Forecasts project a possible El Nino in 2026-2027 while ocean heat acceleration and higher climate sensitivity are linked to faster sea-surface warming.
3/20/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
The Jerusalem Post
WMO increased confidence in a strong El Nino forecast during coming months, projecting higher global temperatures and regional dryness into 2027.
7/3/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
New Scientist / Michael Le Page
The Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service reports that Indonesia's wildfires are unusually intense during the developing Super El Nino.
8/21/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
Yale E360
The World Meteorological Organization forecast a strong El Niño for August through October 2026 as record heat affected South Korea, Europe, and the United States.
8/3/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
New Scientist / Alec Luhn
Berkeley Earth forecasts an exceptionally strong El Niño peaking near 3.6 C above average, with tropical Pacific sea surface temperatures and South Asia rainfall risks elevated.
7/23/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
Fortune
US Climate Prediction Center forecasts increased El Niño formation risk by late July, with potential strong-to-very-strong conditions affecting drought, flooding, energy, and food systems across multiple regions.
5/31/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
The Guardian / Gabrielle Canon
Forecast models estimate a 62% chance El Nino develops this summer and persists through year end, increasing drought and heat risks and rainfall anomalies across multiple regions.
4/13/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
Live Science
Meteorologists predict El Nino may emerge between June and August 2026, potentially raising global temperatures and altering hurricane activity.
3/16/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
The Independent / Io Dodds
Scientists forecast a strong El Niño this year causing global weather shifts in the United States and Pacific regions.
3/10/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
Al Jazeera / Nick Clark
Scientists and international agencies are preparing for a potentially record-strength 2026-27 El Niño that could intensify heat, drought, flooding and food insecurity across the Pacific region and worldwide.
9/3/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
Newswav
NOAA meteorologists forecast an exceptionally strong 2026-27 El Nino in the tropical Pacific, potentially making 2027 the warmest year globally and worsening extreme weather.
8/22/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
Grist / Frida Garza
Climate scientists are tracking an exceptionally strong El Niño in the tropical Pacific this year, with record Niño 3.4 warming and potential worldwide weather impacts.
9/25/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
The Conversation
Forecasters expect a strong El Niño later in 2026, with rainfall and irrigation disruptions raising rice yield and price risks in major producing regions.
6/29/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
The Conversation / Benjamin Selwyn
Climate and agriculture experts warn that super El Nino and human-induced warming will increase extreme heat and drought risks, damaging harvests and worsening food insecurity.
5/19/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
South Asian Herald / T. Vishnudatta Jayaraman
On July 31, 2026, António Guterres warned at the United Nations that intensifying El Niño and weak Indian monsoon conditions could worsen global heat and food risks.
8/1/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
Al Jazeera
The World Meteorological Organization warned during its latest update that an intensifying El Nino could worsen heatwaves, drought, flooding and wildfires worldwide in coming months.
7/31/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
Heatmap / Jeva Lange
Climate scientists assess El Niño and warming ocean conditions as drivers of higher rare tropical cyclone rainfall and landslide risk for southern California during 2026.
6/19/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
Aol
WMO forecast a moderate to strong El Nino through November starting June, signaling higher drought, heavy rainfall, and heatwave risks across multiple regions.
6/2/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
WHYY
NOAA issued a lower-than-average Atlantic hurricane forecast for this year and added street-level flood mapping, an Urban Rain Rate Dashboard, and uncrewed-aircraft data to intensity models.
5/23/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
Miami Herald
NOAA officials and forecasters report a potentially historic El Niño forming in the Pacific, with South Florida hurricane and coastal flooding risks shaped by wind shear and sea-level rise.
5/19/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
Post and Courier / Lydia Larsen
NOAA and meteorologists project an El Niño to develop by June, bringing wetter winter conditions in South Carolina and potentially limiting Atlantic hurricanes through stronger wind shear.
5/11/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
The Times of India / Vishwa Mohan
India Meteorological Department forecast June to September southwest monsoon rainfall, assigning higher odds of below-normal rains during August-September amid potential El Nino conditions.
4/14/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
Just One Mama
Climate scientists warn that in coming years the warming Pacific may shift toward more extreme El Nino and La Nina patterns globally.
2/22/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
Phys.org / Sanjukta Mondal
Researchers report Africa faced record sea level surges during the 2023-2024 El Nino, driven by ocean warming, affecting coastal communities and infrastructure.
2/8/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
The Guardian
A Pacific Kelvin wave is expected to raise California coastal water levels by up to a foot for months as El Niño strengthens this winter, increasing storm-surge and flooding risks.
9/28/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
BGR / Elias Nash
In 2025, University of California, Santa Barbara researchers found that simulated marine cloud brightening over the Pacific could weaken ENSO and reduce rainfall across the region.
9/22/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
The Guardian / Matthew Weaver
The UK Met Office forecast a potentially record-strength Pacific El Nino, bringing heightened global temperature and regional drought risks while worsening water scarcity across England and Wales.
8/21/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
Grist / Tik Root
A strong El Nino and ongoing warming are expected to reduce rice yields in major producing regions worldwide, including the United States, India, Indonesia, and parts of Africa.
7/31/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
The Guardian
The World Meteorological Organization forecast stronger El Niño conditions from August through October, threatening India’s monsoon and increasing heat, drought, flood, and wildfire risks worldwide.
7/31/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
Grist / Joseph Winters
Peruvian officials and international researchers describe El Niño-induced ocean changes that strain anchovy stocks while boosting some warm-water fisheries as consumers face price fluctuations.
7/8/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
The New York Times / Chico Harlan
El Niño conditions returning in 2024 are expected to intensify heat and hydrologic extremes across regions, increasing drought and food system risks.
6/24/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
Grist / Frida Garza
NOAA announced a very strong El Nino has begun and expects drought and heavy rainfall risks that could disrupt agriculture and food security as global warming raises extreme-weather intensity.
6/16/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
The Manila Times / Agence France-Presse
NOAA announced El Nino arrival and a 63 percent chance of a very strong event during November-January, with major drought and flood risks for multiple regions.
6/12/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
The Guardian / Benjamin Selwyn
Forecast super El Nino conditions into 2027 are assessed to increase food, flooding, wildfire, energy, and conflict risks, disproportionately affecting poorer populations.
6/9/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
The Invading Sea / Amy Green
The National Weather Service forecasts below-average hurricane activity for the season starting today, citing an expected El Niño while warning major hurricanes can still develop.
6/1/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
Inside Climate News / Amy Green
National Weather Service forecasts a below-normal hurricane season starting June 1, attributing outlooks to expected El Nino while warning of potential rapid intensification and landfall risk.
5/27/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
Reuters / David Stanway
World Weather Attribution researchers warn that warming and an anticipated strong El Nino may intensify drought-driven wildfire risk across Africa and Asia in 2026.
5/12/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
Inside Climate News / Bob Berwyn
Fredi Otto and other researchers warn that a developing El Nino could amplify extreme heat, droughts, floods, and wildfire risk this year under a human-warmed baseline.
5/12/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
Yale E360
Sylvia Dee and coauthors report in PNAS that El Niño and Indian Ocean Dipole extremes increase violent conflict risk, especially in drought-prone Central America and southern Africa.
5/12/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
Inside Climate News / Bob Berwyn
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences research links El Niño-driven drought threshold conditions to higher armed conflict risk across vulnerable regions from 1950-2023.
5/11/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
New Scientist
Forecast centers project a strong El Nino may develop later in the year, potentially reaching super-event thresholds and increasing global drought and flood risks.
4/14/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
Institute for Energy Research
Super El Niño risk is discussed as increasing chances of reduced wind, solar, and hydropower output, tightening grid reliability planning needs in multiple regions.
7/1/2026 • Clean Energy & Emissions • General
Institute for Energy Research
During El Niño and major storm events, reduced solar, wind, and hydropower output increases grid reliance on dispatchable fossil generation and planning needs for reserve capacity.
7/1/2026 • Clean Energy & Emissions • General
The Equation / Marc Alessi
During the 2026 El Niño season, California officials declared a state of emergency and directed agencies to prepare communities and infrastructure for flood, landslide, and coastal risks.
10/1/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
Al Jazeera / Mariamne Everett
Climate Impact Lab projected that the current super El Nino could cause nearly 451,000 excess heat-related deaths worldwide by early 2027.
9/23/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
Mother Jones / Damian Carrington
Climate researchers project 451,000 additional heat deaths from the current super El Niño worldwide between June 2026 and February 2027, with tropical countries among the hardest hit.
9/25/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
New Scientist / Michael Le Page
The University of Chicago's Climate Impact Lab projected that El Niño-driven heat could cause 240,000 additional deaths worldwide from September through February.
9/23/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
Inside Climate News / Arcelia Martin
University of Chicago Climate Impact Lab scientists projected that a super El Niño could contribute to more than 451,000 additional heat deaths worldwide over six months.
9/23/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
The Conversation / Tafadzwanashe Mabhaudhi
Scientists in June 2026 forecast a super El Nino developing, with region-specific drought and flood risks across Africa affecting food and health systems.
7/5/2026 • Adaptation & Resilience • General
Phys.org / Tafadzwanashe Mabhaudhi and Mendy Ndlovu
Climate scientists forecast a super El Nino developing in 2026, raising drought and flooding risks for Southern, East and Central, and West Africa, with major food and health impacts.
7/6/2026 • Adaptation & Resilience • General
Devpolicy / Debomita Dasgupta
Pacific Islands Forum activates an emergency response mechanism in response to an Iran-linked fuel shock while forecasts warn of very strong El Nino risk across 2026-early 2027.
7/6/2026 • Adaptation & Resilience • General
Los Angeles Times
Sam Liccardo and Pacifica officials seek reinstated FEMA and NOAA climate resilience funding after El Nino-driven wave impacts forced closure of the Pacifica Municipal Pier.
6/16/2026 • Adaptation & Resilience • General
Interesting51 articles · CI Score 45–59
Noticias Ambientales
WMO and international monitoring centers report El Nino returning in 2026 worldwide, with potential global temperature rise and rainfall pattern shifts.
3/4/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
Noticias Ambientales
WMO reports El Nino returns in 2026, with global temperature implications and regional flood risks across Peru, Ecuador, and adjacent South American regions.
3/4/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
Tad Patzek discussed accelerating global heating and climate feedbacks with Nate Hagens in a conversation addressing Earth-system risks worldwide.
6/24/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
AOL
NOAA forecast released May 14 predicts El Nino emergence with an 82% chance in two to three months and possible persistence through winter 2026-27.
5/14/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
UNN
WMO warns greenhouse-gas-driven energy imbalance is causing record warmth and ocean heat uptake, with probable El Niño conditions expected in late 2026.
3/23/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
Indian Defence Review / Sarah Talbi
Meteorologists warn of a potential super El Nino, forecast to emerge in coming months, affecting weather across the United States, Canada, and the Pacific Rim.
3/16/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
KBEAR 92.3 / Sybre Waaijer
NOAA forecasts El Nino development with 62 percent odds for June through August, potentially influencing global temperatures and the Atlantic and Pacific hurricane seasons.
3/14/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
SSBCrack News
NOAA forecasts El Nino development by June to August with global temperature and hurricane season implications.
3/14/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
Claims Journal
CPC forecasters project El Nino formation by summer worldwide, with rising temperatures and impacts on crops and drought risk.
3/13/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
Phys
WMO reports El Nino and La Nina dynamics tied to record 2024 temperatures and near term forecasts through 2026.
3/3/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
The Jerusalem Post
NOAA announced Pacific El Nino onset with a 63% chance of sea surface temperatures exceeding 2.0 C, while Israel and the United States opposed a UN climate obligations resolution.
6/14/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
NOAA reported in 2026 that a potentially strong El Nino is developing in the tropical Pacific and could disrupt weather patterns worldwide.
6/20/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
Futurism / Joe Wilkins
NOAA forecasts potential El Nino strengthening this fall, citing elevated tropical Pacific sea surface temperatures and expected North American weather shifts.
6/13/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
Scientists said this week that a developing El Nino could intensify global heatwaves, droughts, and floods during the year as long-term warming increases damage.
5/17/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
Le Monde
NOAA forecast updates and Columbia University assessments in the equatorial Pacific indicate rising odds of El Niño development between June and January.
3/22/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
The Conversation
NOAA forecasts more than 60% odds of a super El Niño by year end, raising risks to marine ecosystems and Peru anchoveta fisheries.
6/17/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
Climate News
Months before the expected November-December peak, the World Meteorological Organization warned that a severe El Nino could worsen drought, hunger, water shortages and disease outbreaks in Southern Africa.
9/25/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
Common Dreams / Julia Conley
Climate scientists tracking the El Niño that began in June report a 3.07°C Niño 3.4 anomaly and forecast further strengthening through winter in the central Pacific.
9/22/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
Mercury News / Gonzalo Solano
Ecuadorian scientists warned that a projected strong El Nino could threaten Galapagos wildlife and endemic plants this season across Ecuador's Galapagos Islands.
9/9/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
Newswise
Cal State Fullerton researchers are examining uncertain El Niño effects and California risks from floods, landslides, wildfires, atmospheric rivers, and coastal hazards.
8/31/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
Al Jazeera
Governments in Sri Lanka, Indonesia, and Peru are expanding emergency measures in 2023 as a strengthening El Nino raises drought, wildfire, and disaster risks.
8/20/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
UNFCCC
On 31 July 2026, UN Secretary-General António Guterres warned from a press conference that strengthening El Nino conditions could intensify deadly heat and rainfall disruption worldwide.
7/31/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
Health Policy Watch / Disha Shetty
The World Meteorological Organization forecast on Tuesday that intensifying El Nino will worsen heat and rainfall extremes worldwide through November, prompting UN officials to urge preparedness.
7/31/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
The Fish Site
ICAR-CMFRI warned on 10 July that El Niño-driven marine heatwaves in India’s northern Indian Ocean could reduce oil sardine availability by April or May 2027.
7/20/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
BusinessWorld Online
350.org convened climate scientists and policy experts in an online briefing on El Niño risks during ongoing human-caused warming.
7/9/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
Truthout / Frida Garza
NOAA reported the start of El Niño and a high likelihood of very strong conditions, warning of regional drought and heavy rainfall impacts on agriculture and food security.
6/21/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
Al Jazeera / Edna Mohamed
Australia's Bureau of Meteorology warned a strong El Niño is developing in the tropical Pacific, with impacts on rainfall, heat, and food security through late 2026.
6/16/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
Euronews / Angela Symons
NOAA confirmed El Niño onset with a 63% likelihood of historic intensity by late fall or early winter, raising regional extreme-weather risks worldwide.
6/12/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
Atmos
World Meteorological Organization announced El Niño onset in late May, forecasting Super El Niño conditions and warning of global heat and extreme-weather impacts.
6/3/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
Live Science / Patrick Pester
NOAA and WMO forecast that a rapidly strengthening Pacific El Nino will affect temperatures and rainfall across the United States and worldwide during autumn and winter 2026.
9/22/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
The Guardian / Mark Saunokonoko
The Panama Canal Authority plans further transit reductions from October as El Nino-linked drought lowers Lake Gatun water levels in Panama.
9/15/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
The New York Times
During the current El Nino season, Humboldt penguin researchers in Peru are documenting widespread nest abandonment and expected mortality as warming waters reduce food availability.
8/27/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
The Guardian / Uwa Ede-Osifo
NOAA forecasts that a potentially century-strong El Nino will intensify across the equatorial Pacific during fall and winter, affecting United States precipitation and coastal flooding through early spring 2027.
8/8/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
The Guardian / Neelima Vallangi
Odisha farmers delayed or risked paddy planting in June 2024 as weak monsoon conditions and strengthening El Nino threatened water supplies, crops, and rural incomes.
7/30/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
Mother Jones / Frida Garza
NOAA says El Nino has officially begun and could be very strong this season, increasing drought and heavy rainfall risks for agricultural production and food security across multiple regions.
6/21/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
The Guardian / Dani Anguiano
NOAA officials reported an El Nino event formation over the Pacific, with a 63% chance of a record-large event and expected impacts on severe storms, heat, and drought.
6/11/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
The Guardian
The United Nations and the World Meteorological Organization warn that likely El Nino development before September and November could intensify Asian heat, drought, flooding, and public health risks.
6/5/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
Fortune / Angelica Ang
Asia is facing forecast Super El Nino conditions that could intensify drought, heat, hydropower shortfalls, grid demand spikes, and related health risks this summer.
5/28/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
The Guardian
The World Meteorological Organization said in 2026 that a powerful El Niño in the Pacific Ocean could intensify global heat, extreme weather, and food insecurity through 2027.
9/3/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
Euronews / Craig Saueurs
Weather agencies, health authorities and governments are preparing for a strengthening El Niño forecast to affect regions worldwide from June 2026 through February 2027.
9/26/2026 • Adaptation & Resilience • General
New Scientist
Governments worldwide face forecast El Nino extremes over the coming year, as worsening drought in Indonesia and gaps in food reserves, aid and infrastructure increase risks.
10/14/2026 • Adaptation & Resilience • General
Climate Home News / Megan Rowling
Shaun Martin at WWF urges climate adaptation planning in the United States as a 2026 El Nino forecast from the World Meteorological Organization could drive floods, droughts, and extreme heat.
7/6/2026 • Adaptation & Resilience • General
Bill McKibben / Bill McKibben
NOAA reported that a potentially very strong El Nino was developing in the tropical Pacific as Nino 3.4 temperatures exceeded prior records.
10/9/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
Environmental and Energy Study Institute (EESI)
On September 22, 2026, EESI reported from the United States that California Governor Gavin Newsom declared an emergency ahead of forecast El Nino-related flooding and other hazards.
9/22/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
Al Jazeera
The Panama Canal Authority will restrict vessel traffic in Panama from September as El Nino-driven drought threatens water levels, shipping capacity, and nearby drinking-water supplies.
8/21/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
Rice / Alexandra Becker
Rice University researchers discuss how strengthening El Nino later in the year could affect coastal storms, extreme rainfall, and flooding risk in regions including Houston.
6/15/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
TPR Texas Public Radio / Rebecca Hersher
El Nino forecast develops by summer 2026, affecting weather and temperatures worldwide.
3/15/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
The Jerusalem Post
Australia's Bureau of Meteorology forecast a strong El Nino in the tropical Pacific for late 2026, with excessive Americas rainfall and drought risk in Asia.
6/16/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
ScienceDaily / Kathryn Hansen
Northern Chile experienced extensive snow, heavy rain, mudflows, and flash flooding during unusual August 2026 storms linked to El Nino and altered atmospheric circulation.
9/1/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
TIME / Simmone Shah
Forecasters expect a potentially record-strength El Nino over the Pacific Ocean through 2027, increasing drought, flooding and heat risks across several regions.
8/31/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
Climate Change Dispatch / Paris Apodaca
Lucy Biggers disclosed prior climate-reporting self-censorship in 2026, while meteorologists attributed the quiet North Atlantic hurricane season to El Nino.
9/18/2026 • Policy, Politics & Governance • General
Additional2 articles · CI Score below 45
Climate Depot
Lucy Biggers said climate reporters may underreport favorable developments as the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season remained unusually quiet because El Nino hindered hurricane formation.
9/18/2026 • Policy, Politics & Governance • General
Barchart / Jim Roemer
Roemer of Best Weather Inc. links El Nino and climate-driven heat to higher wet-bulb health risk and weather uncertainty for corn, soy, and coffee markets.
7/6/2026 • Economy, Business & Innovation • General