Climate Change and BiodiversityClimate Change and BiodiversityCoverage from The Conversation, bioRxiv, and others
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Climate change is altering where species can survive, how forests and ecosystems are composed, and how much habitat remains available.
Research on tens of thousands of plant species indicates that warming, shifting rainfall, soil changes, land use, and geographic barriers can force range movements while still leaving many species with nowhere suitable to go. The consequences include local gains in diversity alongside severe regional losses, novel ecological communities, and heightened extinction risk. Conservation efforts increasingly consider habitat restoration, climate refugia, seed banks, and assisted migration, but these measures cannot substitute for retaining sufficient suitable habitat.
Looking Back
1026 Day Timeline
Articles published over time. Hover any bar for the period and its article count.
Researchers at Brazil's Federal University of Minas Gerais project major tropical forest losses by 2050 using satellite data, paleoclimate records, and machine learning.
7/28/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
bioRxiv / Erez Feuer; Stefan Klesse; Guy Amir; Nadav Peleg; Yair Mau81
Researchers using Northern Hemisphere tree-ring records found that projected forest growth declines persistently through the twenty-first century under warming conditions.
Researchers modeled habitat loss for over 67,000 vascular plant species for 2081-2100, finding major range reductions and potential extinction risk across regions.
A Geophysical Research Letters study modeled southern Amazon scenarios and found warming increases rainfall decline risk from deforestation through lower thresholds.
UC Davis researchers in Science project 7% to 16% of global plant species could lose most of their range by 2100, with highest extinction risks in southern Europe, the western U.S., and southern Australia.
Modeling by Potsdam Institute researchers links Amazon deforestation plus warming to a lower dieback tipping threshold by 2050, potentially as low as 1.5 C.
Sabine Rumpf and collaborators report global mountain tree line shifts from 2000 to 2020 shaped by climate warming, land use disturbances, and wildfire, with stronger wildfire links in western North America and Alaska.
In southern Brazil, paleoecological and archaeological evidence attributes forest-grassland shifts over 6,000 years to climate-fire feedbacks and southern Jê land management.
Kew scientists report AI analysis of eight million digitised specimens showing flowering-time shifts of about 2.5 days per decade across a century, with larger tropical changes.
Scientists using greenhouse-gas scenarios project major vascular plant range loss by 2081-2100, with habitat shrinkage driving high extinction risk across regions.
Moisés Expósito-Alonso and a multi-researcher team report that Arabidopsis thaliana shows rapid local adaptation across 30 sites, but hot, dry sites can drive population extinction.
UC Berkeley researchers report Science findings from a 30-climate-zone Arabidopsis evolution experiment across Europe, the Middle East, and North America, showing repeatable heat-stress adaptations and extinction under extreme heat.
University of Arizona researchers report higher climate-linked extinction increases in temperate regions than tropical regions after analyzing more than 5,000 species.
An international team projects catastrophic habitat loss for Puya raimondii in Peru's Cordillera Blanca by 2100 using mapped populations, topography, dispersal limits, and climate scenarios.
Researchers found on August 17, 2026, that climate change threatens vascular plant richness across 27.6% of protected-area land worldwide, especially in high-diversity ecoregions.
Researchers analyzing nearly 3 million tree-years from North America and Europe found that terrain-specific seed production can create local climate refuges.
Researchers found that hydraulic traits predicted contrasting upward and downslope range shifts among montane tree species across global mountain forests under warming and drought.
A Nature study projects 2060 to 2080 Amazon plant local extinction rates of 28% to 34% tied to threatened Indigenous languages and reduced traditional knowledge.
Researchers used MaxEnt habitat-suitability modeling to project 2061-2080 climate impacts on 12 tree species in Guangdong karst, highlighting high-risk habitat-quality erosion.
A global resurvey study finds climate-related local extinctions occur more often in temperate species than tropical species as recent warming increases.
Global change biology and landscape ecology research indicates climate change and herbivory can push European forests past thresholds with hysteresis and reduced resilience.
Polish researchers analyze seed harvest data from 438 districts and find summer warming drives 32 to 65% declines in viable tree seed production over 34 years.
Patrícia Vieira Pompeu led a modeling study projecting South American cloud-forest area loss by 2070 under high-emissions scenarios, with biodiversity and watershed water impacts.
Researchers led by UK Centre for Ecology and Hydrology modeled biodiversity impacts in Great Britain, concluding 2050 decisions on emissions and land use will shape future species losses.
Researchers reported 30-year Canberra monitoring and modeling of superb fairy-wrens, projecting local extinction under low, intermediate, and very high emissions scenarios, with highest risk around 2059 to 2062.
A global modeling study evaluates movement and survival of nearly 67,700 plant species under warming and finds extinction driven mainly by disappearing suitable habitat under high emissions.
An international research team found that hydraulic traits determine whether mountain tree species shift uphill or downhill under warming across mountain regions worldwide.
Researchers reported in Nature Climate that 45% of 5,100 species showed local extinctions in warmer conditions, with temperate regions warming faster than tropics.
Researchers report Geophysical Research Letters results on how Southern Amazon deforestation shifts rainfall decline thresholds under warming between 2005 and mid-century.
Scientists report mismatches between expected temperature-driven movement and observed range shifts, using New England and larger datasets to assess conservation corridor effectiveness.
A 2000-2020 study found climate and human disturbances, especially fires, influenced treeline shifts, prompting assisted migration measures in British Columbia and Alberta.
Researchers found that nearly one-third of more than 100 mountain tree species are moving downhill worldwide because water-use strategies influence range shifts alongside warming.
Cornell researchers found tree swallow egg laying advanced with warming but northern U.S. and Canada populations experienced higher pre-breeding temperature variability that increased reproductive risk.
Chiara Dragonetti and colleagues project stronger range contraction for tropical mountain wildlife by 2050, driven by warming, limited dispersal, and land-use change under high emissions.
Researchers forecast genomic climate maladaptation risk for Parnassius apollo across 101 French sites, finding low vulnerability for most range areas and highest vulnerability in Auvergne.
PLOS ONE research projected northward and upward habitat shifts and major losses for four Korean Lindera species under SSP1-2.6, SSP3-7.0, and SSP5-8.5 scenarios.
Warming is shifting species ranges and migration timing across the Arctic and South Asia, raising biodiversity and food security risks and prompting calls for assisted migration and dynamic conservation.
University of Arizona researchers report global survey evidence that temperate species experience faster local extinctions at warm range edges than tropical species.
Cornell University researchers report that northern U.S. and Canada tree swallows face higher reproductive risk as warming advances breeding while pre-breeding temperature variability reduces the margin for responding effectively.
University of Michigan researchers report Long Point tree swallows show smaller size and lower reproduction tied to insect collapse and a rising breeding-insect phenological mismatch.
A University of Arizona study in Nature Climate Change reports higher climate-driven local extinction in temperate species than tropical species using 40,000+ global survey sites.
Cornell scientist Andrew Farnsworth and National Audubon Society scientist Brooke Bateman report climate-driven migration timing shifts and sea-level rise impacts for North American birds in Florida.
Researchers studying superb fairywrens in Canberra botanic gardens warn of extinction risk within 30 to 40 years under intermediate and very high emissions scenarios.
Researchers Jens-Christian Svenning and Wen-Yong Guo report in Nature Plants (2026) that global forests are shifting toward fast-growing, naturalized trees, risking biodiversity and carbon storage worldwide.
University of Michigan researchers report a 96% decline in morning glory adaptation rate over nine years amid warming and pollinator declines driven by pesticide and habitat loss.
Forecasting across China\u2019s Yangtze River Delta projects 22 urban tree species range shifts under SSP1-2.6 and SSP5-8.5 to guide future species selection.
University of Michigan researchers reported in Nature Ecology & Evolution that historical climate variability coincided with episodic songbird body-shape evolution across global bird communities.
Morgan Tingley links climate warming to earlier springs that disrupt migratory bird arrival timing and breeding outcomes across the United States, South America, and Canada.
Climate change is disrupting Common Moorhen nesting and feeding conditions across freshwater wetlands in Europe, Asia, and Africa through increasingly unstable rainfall, drought, flooding, and water levels.
Researchers in China projected that future climate change will expand and geographically shift suitable habitats for three native pear species across the country.
Shirani and Freeman modeled eco-evolutionary dynamics of competition and gene flow to show knees and wiggles can stabilize or destabilize climate-linked species range limits under warming.
Climate change is shifting migration timing and northward ranges of North American birds, contributing to large population declines and heightened vulnerability under near-term warming by 2100.
Researchers from UKCEH and partners modeled six climate and land-use scenarios for Great Britain and found a 20-year decision window for preventing biodiversity decline.
UKCEH researchers in Nature Communications model how 2050 climate and land-use choices could drive over 200 species extinctions in Great Britain under high-warming scenarios.
A review reports mixed resilience and vulnerability of mountain species under Quaternary and modern anthropogenic warming, with strongest risk in tropical high-elevation taxa.
MapBiomas reports 2025 burned acreage fell in the Brazilian Amazon to 7.7 million acres, after 2024 record highs driven by El Nino drought and La Nina rainfall recovery.
Researchers mapped Amazon elevational gradients in May to identify climate-resilient biodiversity corridors, highlighting Peru's Andean spine and other regions despite fragmentation.
A modeling study projects that climate scenarios will reshape the habitat range of Tabanus taeniola by 2050 and 2070, shifting suitability toward cooler regions.
Chinese researchers integrate climate niche modeling and rhizosphere microbiome profiling to project habitat expansion of Xanthium strumarium across China under future scenarios.
Researchers in Peru during 2022-2023 report Amazon dung beetle diversity declines at low elevations as warming drives heat stress and limits viable habitat.
Scientists studying dung beetles across 250 to 3,500 metres in Peru's Amazon report temperature-driven diversity declines, especially in warming lowlands.
Researchers from Universities of Würzburg and Bremen report temperature-driven declines in dung beetle diversity in Peru's Amazon, with lowland heat stress reducing populations.
Researchers from University of East Anglia report climate driven genetic changes and hybrids in polar bears in southeast Greenland amid Arctic warming.
2/2/2026 • Climate Science & Impacts • General
Relational Thinking / Xuezhen Ge, Ya Zou, Heather A. Hager, and Jonathan A. Newman46
A U.S. study projects climate change will shrink habitat suitability for many state flowers and insects, with local extinction risks by end of century.
Genetic research links the Norfolk swallowtail's long isolation to wetland specialization, while rising seas threaten the Norfolk Broads freshwater habitat in Britain.