Last Update: 09/21/2026 at 9:33 PM EST

Morning Briefing: Climate

Sunday, September 13, 2026

September 13, 2026

Clean Power’s Hard Part Is Delivering It

Yesterday’s reporting made a practical point about the energy transition harder to ignore: adding clean-power capacity is not the same as delivering dependable clean electricity when it is needed. India has surpassed 300 GW of clean-energy capacity, yet nearly 11 TWh of solar output was curtailed over 15 months amid congestion and limited flexibility. In New Mexico, PNM’s proposed wind, solar and battery additions still come with prolonged reliance on an aging gas plant for peak-demand needs.

Recent briefings have pointed to grids, storage and system planning as the limiting layer of decarbonization. Yesterday strengthened that picture across very different power systems: the bottleneck is increasingly not ambition or generation capacity, but the transmission, flexibility and firm capacity needed to use clean power reliably.

India’s renewable build-out is running into a delivery problem. Curtailment concentrated in Gujarat and Rajasthan, limited battery and pumped-storage capacity, and demand shifting toward lower-solar-output hours all raise the value of transmission and flexible resources. Proposed storage requirements and grid-management measures show a response is taking shape, but not yet that the gap has closed.

PNM’s resource plan illustrates the same trade-off at utility scale. The company proposes substantial wind, solar and battery additions from 2029 to 2032 while retaining the roughly 150-MW Reeves gas plant through 2044 and adding 40 MW of gas capacity. As the Albuquerque Journal reported, the filing aims to meet rising peak demand while pursuing New Mexico’s 2045 carbon-free electricity requirement; it still requires regulatory approval.

A Nature Geoscience study, reported by ScienceAlert, offers a more refined account of how strong and weak Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation states affected ocean heat storage and atmospheric heat loss during Pleistocene climate shifts. It improves understanding of a long-term climate feedback, but does not establish that a modern AMOC collapse is underway or predict its timing.

An International Institute for Sustainable Development analysis ahead of the G20 Energy Abundance Ministerial argues that clean-energy, electrification and EV support can reduce fossil-fuel import exposure. The argument may broaden the policy case for such support, though its projected savings are modeled estimates rather than evidence of adopted policy or realized outcomes.

Key Points

  • Power-system planning is becoming the decisive test of renewable deployment. India’s curtailment and PNM’s retained gas capacity show that clean-generation targets can coexist with a shortfall in the network and flexibility required to convert capacity into reliable supply.
  • The reliability question is shifting from whether renewables can be built to how systems manage evening peaks, congestion and variable output. Storage matters, but the available evidence suggests it must be paired with transmission and demand management rather than treated as a standalone fix.
  • Energy security is increasingly being framed around reducing exposure to imported fuels, not only around securing fuel supplies. That framing could make clean-energy support more politically durable, but only if it translates into implementable policy.

Implications

For decision-makers, renewable capacity totals are an incomplete measure of progress. Curtailment, peak-demand coverage, transmission delivery and usable storage will better indicate whether investment is displacing higher-carbon generation.

PNM’s filing suggests that gas may retain a role longer than clean-power targets imply when utilities lack confidence in system adequacy. Whether that becomes a durable outcome depends on regulatory treatment, load growth and the performance of planned storage and renewables.

The AMOC research reinforces the importance of physical climate risks that operate through ocean-atmosphere heat exchange, while leaving near-term projections unresolved. Its value is explanatory rather than predictive.

Watchpoints

Watch

Whether New Mexico regulators accept PNM’s proposed gas retention and whether projected peak-load growth supports the case.

Watch

Whether India adopts and implements storage, transmission and grid-management measures at a scale that measurably reduces renewable curtailment.

Watch

Any concrete outcomes from the G20 Energy Abundance Ministerial on fossil-fuel or clean-energy support.

Watch

Further peer-reviewed research testing what past AMOC behavior implies under modern North Atlantic conditions.

Fallout

Yesterday’s most consequential evidence concerned the operational systems around clean power: capacity is expanding, but reliable delivery depends on networks, flexibility and regulatory choices.

Renewable Integration And Grid Flexibility

Renewable deployment is increasingly constrained by the ability to move and balance electricity, particularly across congested networks and evening demand peaks.

Fresh developments

India reported substantial solar curtailment despite rapid clean-capacity growth, while PNM proposed major renewable and storage additions alongside extended gas reliance.

Why we noticed

The two cases show that capacity additions alone do not settle reliability or emissions outcomes.

Watch for:

  • Indian storage and transmission implementation that reduces curtailment.
  • New Mexico regulatory decisions on PNM’s resource plan.
  • Evidence on whether planned storage performs as needed during peak periods.

Atlantic Circulation And Heat Storage

New research clarifies a possible mechanism through which Atlantic circulation variability affects planetary heat storage.

Fresh developments

The study linked stronger and weaker Pleistocene AMOC states to differing North Atlantic heat release and global heat storage.

Why we noticed

It improves understanding of a consequential climate-system feedback without providing a near-term forecast of modern AMOC behavior.

Watch for:

  • Further research on applicability under modern sea-ice conditions.
  • Evidence that narrows uncertainty around future circulation changes.

Clean Energy As Energy Security

A policy analysis argues that clean-energy support can reduce exposure to imported fossil fuels and consumer costs.

Fresh developments

IISD recommended redirecting fossil-fuel support toward renewables, electrification and EVs ahead of the G20 ministerial meeting.

Why we noticed

The framing may widen the constituency for clean-energy policy, though it remains an analytical case rather than enacted policy.

Watch for:

  • Ministerial outcomes and national policy commitments.
  • Whether subsidy changes move from recommendation to implementation.

Final Thought

The transition is advancing, but its pace will increasingly be set by the systems that make clean electricity usable—not simply by the speed of new generation announcements.