2026 Congressional Control Forecasts

Assessments of the 2026 midterms consider whether Democrats can win control of the House, the Senate, or both.

Expert forecasts generally see a more favorable path to House gains than to a Senate majority, where seat requirements, redistricting, and the map of competitive races constrain possibilities. Maine’s contest against Senator Susan Collins is a recurring test case, alongside races in Ohio and Iowa. Polling and presidential approval inform these projections, but incomplete state-level data leaves the competitiveness of some races uncertain.